Ligue 1
Nice vs 
Lorient Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 57.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Nice have averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, Lorient 2.0 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.0% for over 2.5 and 77.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. Nice have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Lorient in 2 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.6
0.8
2.0
1.4
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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1
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5+
In-depth analysis
Looking at totals, the model sees 53.0% for three or more goals and 77.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Nice favoured at 38.7%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Nice to win. See the full prediction →
Key players
Recent-form projection, a watch list, not a confirmed lineup.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Nice 1 · 3 draws · Lorient 1 · 3.4 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Nice vs Lorient?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 57.1% for Nice vs Lorient.
How often have Nice seen both teams score recently?
Nice have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Lorient in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 26,231 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 28 Jul 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.